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US Automobile Production
(Q3 2022)

Posted on October 27, 2022

Forecast Revised on Data Revision; Production Picking up Momentum but Will Trend Below 2019 Levels

US Automobile Production Index is an index comprising establishments primarily engaged in (1) manufacturing complete automobiles (i.e., body and chassis or unibody) or (2) manufacturing automobile chassis only.

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase A of the business cycle. Phase A or “Recovery” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is rising, but the rate of growth is still negative. We denote this phase with blue (for improving).

US Automobile Production transitioned from phase A to phase B in Q3 2022. Phase B, or “Accelerating Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive. We denote this phase with green (for go). In Q2 2023, US Automobile Production will transition into phase C. Phase C, or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

ITR Forecasts the annual growth rate for 2022 at 16.5%, 8.7% in 2023, and 4.3% in 2024.

READ THE FULL Q3 2022 REPORT FROM ITR

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