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US Automobile Production Index
(Q4 2022)

Posted on January 6, 2023

Forecast Lowered for 2024; Annual Production to Decline Mildly From Mid-2023 Through 2024

US Automobile Production Index is an index comprising establishments primarily engaged in (1) manufacturing complete automobiles (i.e., body and chassis or unibody) or (2) manufacturing automobile chassis only.

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase B of the business cycle. Phase B or “Accelerating Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is rising, and the rate of growth is positive. We denote this phase with green (for go).

US Automobile Production will continue in phase B through Q1 2023 giving way to phase C in Q2. Phase C, or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2022 at 22.7%, 2.7% in 2023, and -4.6% in 2024.

READ THE FULL Q4 2022 REPORT FROM ITR

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