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US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production
(Q2 2022)

Posted on July 11, 2022

Forecast Lowered Due to Production Headwinds; Business Cycle Decline Expected Into Early 2024

US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production Index is an Index for US establishments primarily engaged in one or more of the following: (1) manufacturing aircraft engines and engine parts; (2) developing and making prototypes of aircraft engines and engine parts; (3) aircraft propulsion system conversion (i.e., major modifications to systems); (4) aircraft propulsion systems overhaul and rebuilding (i.e., periodic restoration of aircraft propulsion system to original design specifications).

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase C of the business cycle. Phase C or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

US Civilian Aircraft Equipment Production will continue in phase C through Q3 2023 giving way to phase D in Q4. Phase D or “Recession” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is declining, and the rate of growth is negative. We denote this phase with red (for warning).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2022 at 8.1%, -1.1% in 2023 and 10.1% in 2024.

READ THE FULL REPORT FROM ITR

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