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US Primary Metals Production
(Q2 2022)

Posted on July 11, 2022

Slowing Global Economy to Cool Metal Demand, but Domestic Sources May Benefit From Russian Sanctions

US Primary Metals Production Index comprises industries in the Primary Metal Manufacturing subsector smelt and/or refine ferrous and nonferrous metals from ore, pig or scrap, using electrometallurgical and other process metallurgical techniques. Establishments in this subsector also manufacture metal alloys and superalloys by introducing other chemical elements to pure metals. The output of smelting and refining, usually in ingot form, is used in rolling, drawing, and extruding operations to make sheet, strip, bar, rod, or wire, and in molten form to make castings and other basic metal products.

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase C of the business cycle. Phase C or Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is rising, and the rate of growth is positive. We denote this phase with green (for go).

US Primary Metals Production will continue in phase C through Q1 2023 giving way to phase D in Q2. Phase D or “Recession” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is declining, and the rate of growth is negative. We denote this phase with red (for warning).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2022 at 5.0%, 0.6% in 2023 and 4.6% in 2024.

READ THE FULL REPORT FROM ITR

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