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US Private Nonresidential Construction
(Q1 2024)

Posted on April 10, 2024

Forecast Lifted Given Effects of Government Spending; Architecture Billings Suggest Slowing Growth

US Private Nonresidential Construction Index is an index including private construction of the following types: office, commercial, automotive, lodging, dining, retail, warehouse, storage facilities, schools, dormitories, sports facilities, galleries, museums, hospitals, medical buildings, special care facilities, religious buildings, fitness centers, amusement parks, movie theaters, social centers, transportation facilities, power facilities, and manufacturing facilities.

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase C of the business cycle. Phase C or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

US Private Nonresidential Construction will give way to phase D in Q3 2025. Phase D or “Recession” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is declining, and the rate of growth is negative. We denote this phase with red (for warning).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2024 at 8.1%, -5.0% in 2025, and 2.5% in 2026.

READ THE FULL Q1 2024 REPORT FROM ITR

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