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US Real Gross Domestic Product
(Q1 2024)

Posted on April 10, 2024

Forecast Lifted Based on Consumer and Government Spending; Expect General Rise Through at Least 2026

US Real Gross Domestic Product is the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. GDP includes all private and public consumption, government outlays, investments and exports minus imports that occur within a defined territory. Put simply, GDP is a broad measurement of a nation’s overall economic activity.

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase C of the business cycle. Phase C or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

US Real Gross Domestic Product will continue in phase C through Q4 2024, giving way to phase B in Q1 2025. Phase B or “Accelerating Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is rising, and the rate of growth is positive. We denote this phase with green (for go).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2024 at 1.1%, 1.5% in 2025, and 1.9% in 2026.

READ THE FULL Q1 2024 REPORT FROM ITR

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