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US Industrial Production Index
(Q4 2022)

Posted on January 5, 2023

Outlook Revised Due to Inverted Yield Curve; Mild Phase D (Recession) Expected in 2024.

The US Industrial Production Index is an index of total industrial production in the United States; including manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase C of the business cycle. Phase C or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

US Industrial Production will continue in phase C through Q4 2023 giving way to phase D in Q1 2024. Phase D or “Recession” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is declining, and the rate of growth is negative. We denote this phase with red (for warning).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2022 at 3.9%, 0.1% in 2023, and -2.3% in 2024.

READ THE FULL Q4 2022 REPORT FROM ITR

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