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US Real Gross Domestic Product
(Q1 2025)

Posted on April 9, 2025

Policy Changes Could Disrupt, but Business and Consumer Metrics Suggest Growth Still Probable

US Real Gross Domestic Product is the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. GDP includes all private and public consumption, government outlays, investments and exports minus imports that occur within a defined territory. Put simply, GDP is a broad measurement of a nation’s overall economic activity.

ITR Economics has classified this index as being in phase C of the business cycle. Phase C or “Slowing Growth” occurs when the annual growth rate (12/12) is positive, but the rate of growth is declining. We denote this phase with yellow (for caution).

ITR forecasts the annual growth rate for 2025 at 2.5%, 2.1% in 2026, and 2.1% in 2027.

READ THE FULL Q1 2025 REPORT FROM ITR

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